Commodity Markets Outlook, July 2015

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作者：

World Bank Group

来源地址：

http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22278

关键词：

price forecasts;  oil market;  supply conditions;  mining capacity;  commodity consumption;  global demand;  food commodity prices;  commodity trade balances;  Report;  Rapport;  Informe; 

年份：

2015

出版地：

Washington,USA

语种：

English

摘要：

Most commodity prices declined in the second quarter of 2015due to ample supplies and weak demand, especially in industrialcommodities (Figure 1). One main exception was the price ofcrude oil which rebounded early in the quarter on stronger demandbut has since weakened owing to a still large global surplus.These trends are expected to persist for the rest of the year,with a modest recovery in 2016 (Figure 2). This issue's SpecialFocus looks at China's and India's commodity consumptionpatterns. It concludes that demand from China, and to a lesserextent India, significantly raised global demand for metals andenergy—especially coal—and less so for food commodities. Thispattern reflected the countries' different growth models and theway in which consumption responds to income growth.