Reception means 81 receives an estimator learned using measured data up to a point of time in the past, verification data that is measured data from the point of time onward, and an update rule prescribing whether or not the estimator needs to be updated based on an evaluation index. Simulation means 82 simulates at least one of the evaluation index of the estimator and an update result of the estimator in a predetermined period, based on the update rule and an estimation result calculated by applying the verification data of the predetermined period to the estimator in chronological order.