Commodity Markets Outlook, October 2017

• 查看报告

作者：

World Bank Group

来源地址：

http://hdl.handle.net/10986/28589

关键词：

COMMODITY PRICES;  ENERGY PRICES;  FOOD PRICES;  FERTILIZERS;  METAL DEMAND;  PRECIOUS METALS;  MINERALS;  PRICE FORECASTS;  PRICE SERIES;  Report;  Rapport;  Informe; 

年份：

2017

出版地：

Washington,USA

语种：

English

摘要：

Prices of industrial commodities continued to strengthen in the third quarter (q/q), while most agricultural prices remainedbroadly stable. In the oil market, inventories continue to fall amid strong demand, OPEC production restraint,and stabilizing U.S. shale oil production. Crude oil prices are expected to average $53 per barrel (bbl) in 2017 (upfrom $43/bbl in 2016) and rise to $56/bbl in 2018, a small downward revision from the April 2017 forecast. Metalsprices are expected to surge 22 percent in 2017 due to strong demand and supply constraints, notably Chinese environmentally-driven supply cuts. With the exception of iron ore, metals prices are expected to increase moderately in 2018.Agricultural prices are seen broadly unchanged in 2017 and are anticipated to gain marginally in 2018. Most foodmarkets are well-supplied and the stocks-to-use ratios of some grains are forecast to reach multi-year highs.