A method for monitoring health of a subject based on a physiological response to physical exertion, by processing circuitry of a medical device system, is described that includes detecting a plurality of exertion events of the subject based on a first sensed signal that varies as a function of movement of the subject. The method further includes determining a response of a physiological parameter of the subject to the exertion event for each of the detected exertion events based on second sensed signal that varies as a function of the physiological parameter. The method further includes determining that a change in the responses over time crosses threshold and generating an alert to a user based on the determination that the change crosses the threshold.