A sensing data based estimation method is applied to an estimation system, and the estimation system includes a sensor, a storage and a processor. The estimation method includes operations as follows: generating a sensing data via the sensor, and the sensing data has several corresponding time parameters; receiving the sensing data and storing the sensing data to the storage via the processor, and storing a default statistical distribution via the storage in advance; executing transformation for the time parameters of the sensing data according to a default transformation relation, and executing statistical calculation for the transformed time parameters to generate a statistical set via the processor; and comparing the statistical set with the default statistical distribution, and selectively adjusting the default transformation relation according to a difference between the statistical set and the default statistical distribution via the processor, so as to generate an estimation parameter.