Systems and methods are provided relating to open loop decision-making for management of diabetes. People with diabetes face many problems in controlling their glucose because of the complex interactions between food, insulin, exercise, stress, activity, and other physiological and environmental conditions. Established principles of management of glucose sometimes are not adequate because there is a significant amount of variability in how different conditions impact different individuals and what actions might be effective for them. Accordingly, systems and methods according to present principles minimize the impact of the vagaries of diabetes on individuals, i.e., by looking for patterns and tendencies of an individual and customizing the management to that individual. Consequently, the same reduces the uncertainty that diabetes typically is associated with and improves quality of life.