A vaporizer device includes a resistive heating element； circuitry configured to control delivery of electrical power to the resistive heating element from a power source； and a controller configured to perform operations including: receiving inputs representative of a power delivery to the resistive heating element, a temperature of the resistive heating element, and/or a flow rate of air past the resistive heating element； predicting, using the received inputs, an amount of evaporation of the vaporizable material at the resistive heating element； and controlling the power delivery to the resistive heating element in response to the predicted amount of evaporation of the vaporizable material, the controlling including increasing or decreasing an instantaneous power delivery to the heating element such that a target aerosol yield is produced. Related devices, systems, methods, and articles are also described.
