Spatio-temporal detection of agricultural disaster vulnerability in the world and implications for developing climate-resilient agriculture

• 全文链接

世界农业灾害脆弱性的时空探测及其对发展气候适应性农业的影响

关键词：

来源：

Science of The Total Environment

全文链接：

//agri.nais.net.cn/topic/downloadFile/42d9ed70-0fcc-4a39-a267-75c98aec2bcf

来源地址：

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0048969724025580

资源所属：

农业与资源环境信息工程专题

类型：

学术文献

语种：

英语

原文发布日期：

2024-04-12

摘要：

Drought and floods seriously affect agriculture across the world. It is of great importance to lower down the agricultural vulnerability to disasters to build climate-resilient agriculture. The paper aims to investigate the spatio-temporal changes of agricultural vulnerability to drought and floods in the world in the period 2003–2019. Research results show that (1) the agricultural vulnerability to drought and floods is at a low level across the globe owning to the dual effects of decreasing exposure and increasing adaptability; (2) the northern parts of United States, northeastern parts of China, and the border between Russia and Kazakhstan are identified as most vulnerable areas to drought and floods; and (3) spatio-temporal mismatch of precipitation is the main factor to cause floods and drought while better adaption is beneficial to minimize the adverse effects of disasters. Based on analysis on the drivers and spatial patterns of drought and floods risk in all dimensions, tailored measures and policies are put forwards to make adaptive strategies of agriculture to climate change.