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Data from: Avoidable errors in the modeling of outbreaks of emerging pathogens, with special reference to Ebola
负责人:
关键词:
emerging infectious disease;forecast;statistical inference;Ebola virus disease
DOI:
doi:10.5061/dryad.r5f30
摘要:
eby reduced, but that uncertainty in estimates and forecasts is better quantified and that, critically, lack of model fit is more readily diagnosed. We conc
Data from: Model-data assimilation of multiple phenological observations to constrain and predict leaf area index
负责人:
关键词:
Leaf-phenology;data assimilation
DOI:
doi:10.5061/dryad.2s71b
摘要:
Our limited ability to accurately simulate leaf phenology is a leading source of uncertainty in models of ecosystem carbon cycling. We evaluate
Data from: A Darwinian uncertainty principle
负责人:
关键词:
Transition rates;ancestral states;phylogeny;Yule and coalescent trees;Evolutionary patterns and processes;Information theory
DOI:
doi:10.5061/dryad.6p55sp3
摘要:
, leading to a fundamental trade-off in accuracy. This inherent `Darwinian uncertainty principle' concerning the simultaneous estimation of `patterns
Data from: Markov-modulated Poisson processes as a new framework for analyzing capture-recapture data
负责人:
关键词:
Capra ibex;spring 2011;Breeding
DOI:
doi:10.5061/dryad.098c4
摘要:
s unordered levels of uncertainty. 4.The methods were illustrated using simulations and analysis of data on the Alpine ibex (Capraibex).
Data from: Joint estimation of survival and breeding probability in female dolphins and calves with uncertainty in state assignment
负责人:
关键词:
Tursiops truncatus;bottlenose dolphin;English Channel;multievent capture\u2013recapture models;reproduction survival
DOI:
doi:10.5061/dryad.5bh0587
摘要:
demographic parameters while accounting for detection heterogeneity between individuals and state uncertainty regarding reproductive status. We applied this model to data
Data from: Genealogical working distributions for Bayesian model testing with phylogenetic uncertainty
负责人:
关键词:
working distribution;marginal likelihood;MCMC;phylogenetics;Bayes factor;Bayesian inference;coalescent model
DOI:
doi:10.5061/dryad.8tm76
摘要:
a “working” distribution on the space of genealogies, that enables estimating marginal likelihoods while accommodating phylogenetic uncertainty. We propose
Data from: Bayesian estimates of male and female African lion mortality for future use in population management
负责人:
关键词:
Panthera leo;African lions;sex differences in life history;lion population management;sex differences in mortality;Dispersal;Serengeti;age-specific mortality;Siler model;Hwange;social carnivores
DOI:
doi:10.5061/dryad.2382q
摘要:
evaluate consequences of hunting on lion population growth. However, none of the models use unbiased estimates of male age-specific mortality because suc
Data from: Integrated population modeling provides the first empirical estimates of vital rates and abundance for polar bears in the Chukchi Sea
负责人:
关键词:
vital rates;polar bear;abundance;sea ice;capture-recapture;carnivore;movement;integrated population model;Ursus maritimus;climate change
DOI:
doi:10.5061/dryad.692jb15
摘要:
-recapture studies for polar bears by including a multievent structure reflecting location and life history states, while accommodating state uncertainty. Female
Data from: Fundamental activity constraints lead to specific interpretations of the connectome
负责人:
关键词:
cortex;Neurons;Neural networks;Network analysis;System instability;connectome;macaque;Single neuron function;Membrane potential;Simulation and modeling;mean-field theory
DOI:
doi:10.5061/dryad.vn342
摘要:
. Guided by physiological observations, any model must therefore explore the parameter ranges within the uncertainty of the data. Based on simulation

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