Lao PDR Economic Monitor, May 2011 : Robust Growth amidst Inflationary Concerns

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作者：

World Bank

来源地址：

http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27247

关键词：

ATM;  BALANCE OF PAYMENTS;  BARRIERS TO ENTRY;  CHECKS;  CLEARANCE SYSTEMS;  CLEARANCE SYSTEMS;  COMMODITY PRICES;  COMPETITIVE DISADVANTAGE;  COMPETITIVE DISADVANTAGE;  CREDIT UNIONS;  CREDIT UNIONS;  CURRENT ACCOUNT;  CURRENT ACCOUNT;  CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS;  CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE;  CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT;  DEBT SERVICE PAYMENTS;  DEBT SERVICE PAYMENTS;  DEBT SERVICES;  DOMESTIC MARKET;  DOMESTIC MARKET;  DOMESTIC PRICE;  DOMESTIC PRICE;  EXCHANGE RATE POLICY;  EXCHANGE RATE POLICY;  EXPORT EARNINGS;  EXPORT GROWTH;  EXPORT PRICE;  EXPORT VALUE;  EXPORT VALUECOMMODITY PRICES;  FOOD EXPORTS;  FOOD EXPORTS;  FREE TRADE AREA;  FREE TRADE AREA;  GLOBAL INTEGRATION;  GLOBAL INTEGRATION;  INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY;  INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY;  INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS;  INVESTMENT INCENTIVES;  NATIONAL TREATMENT;  NATIONAL TREATMENT;  NEIGHBORING COUNTRIES;  NEIGHBORING COUNTRIES;  NON-OIL COMMODITIES;  PARTNER COUNTRIES;  PARTNER COUNTRIES;  PAYMENT SYSTEM;  PAYMENT SYSTEMS;  PAYMENTS;  PREFERENTIAL TARIFF;  PRICES;  PRIVATE CREDITS;  REGULATORY FRAMEWORK;  REGULATORY FRAMEWORK;  ROYALTIES;  SALARY PAYMENTS;  SALARY PAYMENTS;  TRADE AREA;  TRADE DEFICIT;  TRADE DEFICIT;  TRADE FACILITATION;  TRADE FACILITATION ISSUES;  TRADE FACILITATION ISSUES;  TRADE INTEGRATION;  TRADE REFORM;  TRADE VOLUME;  TRADE VOLUME;  WORLD ECONOMY;  WORLD ECONOMY;  WORLD OUTPUT;  WORLD OUTPUT;  WORLD TRADE;  WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION;  ZERO TARIFF;  Report; 

年份：

2011

出版地：

Washington,USA

语种：

English

摘要：

Lao PDR's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth will remain robust in 2011 with projected growth of 8.6 percent compared to 8.4 percent in 2010. Natural resources and manufacturing sectors are expected to drive growth this year. The expected growth in the garment exports (by about 15-20 percent in this year) follows the European Union (EU) relaxation in raw material sourcing requirement and increased orders by key garment producers. The service sector also shows signs of improvement, particularly in transport, tourism (hotels and restaurants) and retail trading. Agriculture (fishery, livestock and crops) is expected to benefit from the recent increase in regional demand and higher food prices. Out of 8.6 percent growth in 2011, about 3.6 percentage points come from the resource sectors, about 1 percentage point each from manufacturing and agriculture, 0.5 percentage points from construction and 2.5 percentage points from services. Although overall trade balance is expected to improve the current account deficit is expected to widen slightly too about 9.4 percent of GDP in 2011 from about 8.6 percent in 2010 mainly on the account of larger transfers of profits and debt service payments abroad by large resource projects. Thus, resource current account surplus is expected to decrease to 4.8 percent of GDP in this year from about 5.5 percent in 2010.