Iran Economic Monitor, March 2016 : Seizing the Opportunity

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作者：

World Bank

来源地址：

http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24409

关键词：

TOTAL REVENUE;  MONETARY POLICY;  RISKS;  CAPITAL MARKETS;  UNEMPLOYMENT RATES;  GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES;  INTERGENERATIONAL EQUITY;  ECONOMIC GROWTH;  PRODUCTION;  PRICE INCREASES;  POLICY ENVIRONMENT;  ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION;  STOCK;  INCOME;  INTEREST;  PROJECTIONS;  EXPECTATIONS;  MARGINAL COST;  MONEY SUPPLY;  PRODUCERS;  INTEREST RATE;  REAL GDP;  EXCHANGE;  FINANCIAL RESOURCES;  LABOR FORCE;  LIQUIDITY;  EXPORTS;  REVENUES;  FISCAL POLICY;  WELFARE;  RISK PREMIUM;  ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS;  BONDS;  DEVALUATION;  MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS;  DISTRIBUTION;  CAPACITY BUILDING;  EQUILIBRIUM;  VARIABLES;  MODELS;  SUBSIDY;  OWNERSHIP;  BENCHMARKS;  PAYMENTS;  WEALTH;  BANKRUPTCY;  ECONOMIC LOSS;  FREE TRADE;  INFLATION;  AUDITS;  ECONOMIC OUTLOOK;  CENTRAL BANK;  ECONOMIC ACTIVITY;  DEVELOPMENT;  EQUITY CAPITAL;  FISCAL POLICIES;  CONTRACTUAL ARRANGEMENTS;  INFLUENCE;  OIL PRICES;  TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE;  OIL;  CAPITAL GAINS;  EXOGENOUS VARIABLES;  MONEY;  EXPECTED RETURN;  OPEC;  NET EXPORTS;  MARKETS;  DEBT;  INFLATION RATE;  POTENTIAL OUTPUT;  ECONOMIC SIZE;  ORGANIZATION OF PETROLEUM EXPORTING COUNTRIES;  TAX REVENUES;  INVENTORIES;  PARTIAL PRIVATIZATION;  NATURAL RESOURCES;  AVERAGING;  METALS;  TRADE POLICIES;  EFFICIENCY;  TAXES;  RESOURCES;  UNEMPLOYMENT;  ENERGY CONSUMPTION;  EQUITY;  CONSUMPTION;  HUMAN CAPITAL;  PROFITABILITY MEASURES;  VALUE ADDED;  OPPORTUNITY COST;  ECONOMIC IMPACT;  CAPITAL;  WAGES;  CLIMATE CHANGE;  INTERNATIONAL TRADE;  TRANSPARENCY;  UNEMPLOYMENT RATE;  VALUES;  MARKET PRICES;  VALUE;  POLICY MAKERS;  BENCHMARKING;  COMPETITIVENESS;  CREDIT;  MACROECONOMICS;  PURCHASING POWER;  ECONOMIC SECTORS;  DEMAND;  CPI;  MINES;  CONSUMERS;  AGRICULTURE;  ECONOMY;  EXPENDITURES;  Report; 

年份：

2016

出版地：

Washington,USA

语种：

English

摘要：

Following the partial lifting of nuclear-related sanctions in November 2013 under the interim Joint Plan of Action (JPOA), Iran's economy rebounded in 20141 and is estimated to have expanded by 0.5 percent in 2015. A less accommodative monetary policy stance reduced inflationary pressures, with the Consumer Price Index falling to 8.9 percent in February 2016, from a peak of 45.1 percent in June 2013. Notwithstanding this positive development,the pace of job creation has remained weak and the unemployment rate rose to 11.7 percent in 2015, up from 10.6 percent in 2014. The fiscal balance of the central government also deteriorated, mostly due to low oil prices, from a deficit of 1.2 percent of GDP in 2014 to a deficit of 2.7 percent of GDP in 2015. Similarly, the current account surplus is estimated to have shrank from 3.8 percent of GDP in 2014 to 0.6 percent of GDP in 2015 due to falling oil receipts.