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Central America agribusiness reports Q2/2019 Includes 5-year forecasts to 2022
- 作者：
- Business Monitor International Ltd
- 年份：
- 2019
- 学科分类：
- F373.04
- 出版地：
- London
- 总页数：
- 78
- 语种：
- English
- 信息来源：
- BMI Research
- 摘要：
- Key View Key View: Following a number of revisions to forecasts across our last two updates, our forecasts have remained largely intact this time out. Our view on Central America's agribusiness market remains broadly positive with only few production or consumption contractions forecast through to the end of our forecast period to 2023. We caution, however, that this largely bullish view is inconsistent across the four markets and six countries we track. As a result of rising incomes and growing populations, as well as an improving real GDP outlook for the region, demand growth will largely outstrip supply growth in the livestock and grains sectors over the next five years. In the sugar and coffee markets, the balance is slightly more in favour of output Focusing on the key sugar market we highlight that production growth - which has seen a mixture of both upside and downside revisions - will rise, predominantly owing to increasing yields thanks to the adoption of more productive sugarcane varieties, as well as better pest control and irrigation. Furthermore, our sugar price forecasts have turned positive for the first time in two years for 2019, which will provide a further boost to producers.
