Poverty Dynamics in Vietnam, 2002-2006

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作者：

Baulch, Bob

来源地址：

http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27728

关键词：

ACCESS TO ELECTRICITY;  AGRICULTURAL EXTENSION;  AGRICULTURAL LAND;  ARABLE LAND;  CHILD LABOR;  CHRONIC POVERTY;  CHRONICALLY POOR;  CLEAN WATER;  CLIMATE CHANGE;  CORRELATES OF POVERTY;  ECONOMIC GROWTH;  ELDERLY PEOPLE;  ETHNIC MINORITY;  EXTREME POVERTY;  FARM EMPLOYMENT;  FOOD EXPENDITURES;  FOOD PRICE;  GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS;  GLOBAL POVERTY;  HOUSEHOLD HEAD;  HOUSEHOLD LIVING STANDARDS;  HOUSEHOLD SIZE;  HOUSEHOLD SURVEY;  HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS;  HOUSEHOLD WELFARE;  IDIOSYNCRATIC SHOCKS;  ILLNESS;  IMPACT ON POVERTY;  INCOME;  INCOME DYNAMICS;  INDICATORS OF POVERTY;  INEQUALITY;  LACK OF EDUCATION;  LEVELS OF VULNERABILITY;  LONGITUDINAL DATA;  LOW INCOME;  NATURAL DISASTERS;  POOR HOUSEHOLD;  POOR HOUSEHOLDS;  POORER HOUSEHOLDS;  POST-REFORM;  POVERTY DYNAMICS;  POVERTY DYNAMICS LITERATURE;  POVERTY LINE;  POVERTY LINES;  POVERTY MONITORING;  POVERTY REDUCTION;  POVERTY RESEARCH;  POVERTY STATUS;  POVERTY UPDATE;  REGIONAL DUMMIES;  REGIONAL PATTERN;  RURAL;  RURAL AREAS;  RURAL HOUSEHOLD;  RURAL HOUSEHOLDS;  RURAL POVERTY;  SCHOOLING;  SOCIAL PROTECTION;  TRANSIENT POVERTY;  VULNERABILITY TO POVERTY;  WAGE EMPLOYMENT;  WORKING DAYS;  Report;  Rapport;  Informe; 

年份：

2010

出版地：

Washington,USA

语种：

English

摘要：

This paper provides a descriptive and multivariate analysis of poverty dynamics in Vietnam using panel data from the Vietnam household living standards surveys of 2002, 2004, and 2006. Transition matrices and contour plots confirm that while large numbers of households moved out of poverty between these years, many did not move far the poverty line and that around a tenth of rural households appear to be trapped in chronic poverty. Different categorical models are then estimated to analyze the correlates of chronic poverty and the drivers of poverty transitions in rural areas. Initial conditions, such as household size and composition, whether the household head comes from an ethnic minority or failed to complete primary school, and residence in northern Vietnam, have important roles in trapping households in poverty. Simultaneous quintile regression models show the chronically poor are more disadvantaged by geography and ethnic minority status, while changes in household size and the share of children matter more to the living standards of the never poor.