Tanzania : Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment

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作者：

Arce, Carlos E.

来源地址：

http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22277

关键词：

HOUSEHOLD INCOMES;  POLITICAL REGIONS;  AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH;  AGRICULTURAL GROWTH;  POVERTY LINE;  SUBSISTENCE;  FARMER GROUPS;  LACK OF EDUCATION;  ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION;  ACCESS TO TECHNOLOGY;  COTTON PRODUCTION;  FARMER;  ILLITERACY;  RURAL INHABITANTS;  MILK;  FOOD CONSUMPTION;  SCHOOLING;  AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION;  RURAL GROUPS;  NATIONAL POVERTY LINE;  LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION;  REGIONAL LEVEL;  ADMINISTRATIVE REGIONS;  AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT;  VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT;  AGRICULTURAL SECTORS;  HOUSING;  FOOD POLICY;  RURAL LIVELIHOODS;  CHEMICAL FERTILIZERS;  NATIONAL POVERTY;  PROTEIN CONTENT;  CAPACITY BUILDING;  STORAGE FACILITIES;  FOOD SECURITY PROBLEMS;  LAND TENURE;  RURAL POPULATION;  AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT;  LIFE EXPECTANCY;  SAFETY NETS;  REGION;  FARM TECHNOLOGIES;  MATERNAL MORTALITY;  POVERTY REDUCTION;  SMALL FARMERS;  AGRICULTURAL PRACTICES;  RURAL PEOPLE;  YIELD DATA;  RURAL POPULATIONS;  CROP PRODUCTION;  ARABLE LAND;  FOOD CROP PRODUCTION;  SEED SUPPLY;  RURAL HOUSEHOLD;  RURAL HOUSEHOLDS;  CASH CROPS;  REGIONAL RISK;  HOUSEHOLD HEAD;  POVERTY GAP;  AGRICULTURAL TECHNOLOGY;  INCOME GROWTH;  REGIONAL TRADE;  FOOD PRICE;  FARM RESEARCH;  ACCESS TO INTERNATIONAL MARKETS;  SPATIAL PATTERNS;  PARTICIPATORY POVERTY ASSESSMENT;  NATURAL DISASTERS;  REGIONAL MARKET;  POOR RURAL HOUSEHOLDS;  HOUSEHOLD INCOME;  VEGETABLES;  LAND DEGRADATION;  REGIONAL BODY;  CASH INCOME;  SOCIAL PROTECTION;  LIVESTOCK PRODUCERS;  REGIONAL LEVELS;  FARMERS;  REGIONAL VARIABILITY;  VULNERABLE AREAS;  DIMENSIONS OF POVERTY;  FOOD CROP PRODUCERS;  FOOD AID;  FOOD PRODUCTION;  ECOLOGICAL REGIONS;  PEOPLE WITH DISABILITIES;  POOR PRODUCERS;  RURAL POVERTY LINE;  CROP YIELDS;  CONSUMPTION;  FARMER ASSOCIATIONS;  HOUSEHOLD VULNERABILITY;  FOOD SECURITY;  LIVESTOCK SECTOR;  PLANTING MATERIAL;  ACCESS TO ASSETS;  CLIMATE CHANGE;  COMMERCIAL AGRICULTURE;  HOUSEHOLD FOOD SECURITY;  CASH EARNINGS;  REGIONAL BASIS;  ECOLOGICAL ZONES;  FARM PRODUCTION;  VULNERABLE GROUPS;  REGIONAL WORKSHOP;  LIVESTOCK SALES;  FAMILY INCOME;  SAFETY NET;  RURAL POVERTY;  SEMI-ARID REGIONS;  AGRICULTURAL SECTOR;  DRY SEASON;  SMALLHOLDER FARMERS;  MALNUTRITION;  AGRICULTURAL SUPPORT;  NUTRITION;  ACCESS TO FOOD;  HOUSEHOLD BUDGET;  AGRICULTURAL INPUTS;  FOOD IMPORTS;  FOOD INSECURITY;  HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX;  MATERNAL HEALTH;  DOMESTIC PRICES;  LAND PRODUCTIVITY;  SUBSISTENCE FARMERS;  FOOD CROP;  COASTAL REGIONS;  REGIONS;  AGRICULTURAL SEASON;  POLITICAL REGION;  IRRIGATION;  MAJORITY OF FARMERS;  FOOD CROPS;  AGRICULTURAL TECHNOLOGIES;  SMALLHOLDER FARMING;  SMALL-SCALE FARMER;  ARID REGIONS;  RURAL AREAS;  POVERTY;  REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION;  DROUGHT RISK;  AGRICULTURAL INCOMES;  FOOD SUPPLY;  MEAT;  FOOD AVAILABILITY;  AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY;  CONSUMER PRICES;  CHILD LABOR;  RURAL DISTRICTS;  RURAL ROAD;  REGIONAL INSTITUTIONS;  REGIONAL FORESTRY;  REDUCTION OF POVERTY;  POVERTY ASSESSMENT;  FARMING SYSTEMS;  FOOD PRICES;  CONSUMPTION BASKET;  LAND MANAGEMENT;  FARM-GATE;  POVERTY ALLEVIATION;  POOR RURAL PEOPLE;  CENTRAL REGIONS;  HUMAN DEVELOPMENT;  REGIONAL COUNCILS;  Report;  Rapport;  Informe; 

年份：

2015

出版地：

Washington,USA

语种：

English

摘要：

This study aims to achieve a better understanding of the agricultural risk and risk management situation in Tanzania with a view to identifying key solutions to reduce current gross domestic product (GDP) growth volatility. For the purpose of this assessment, risk is defined as the probability that an uncertain event will occur that can potentially produce losses to participants along the supply chain. Persistence of unmanaged risks in agriculture is a cause of great economic losses for farmers and other actors along the supply chains (for example, traders, processors, and exporters), affecting export earnings and food security. The agricultural sector risk assessment is a straightforward methodology based on a three-phase sequential process. Phase analyzes the chronological occurrence of inter-seasonal agricultural risks with a view to identify and prioritize the risks that are the drivers of agricultural GDP volatility. This report contains the findings and recommendations of the first phase and includes the identification, analysis, and prioritization of major risks facing the agricultural sector in Tanzania, as well as recommendations regarding key solutions. Chapter one gives introduction and context. Chapter two contains an overview of the agricultural sector and its performance, as well as a discussion of key agro-climatic, weather, and policy restrictions and opportunities. Chapter three includes an assessment of major risks (that is, production, market, and enabling environment risks) facing key export and food crops. Chapter four presents an estimate of historical losses due to realized production risks and a correlation of such losses with production volatility. Chapter five provides insights into the exposure to risks by different stakeholders and their actual capacities, vulnerabilities, and potential to manage agricultural risks. Chapter six presents a risk prioritization by different supply chains and discusses the possible solutions, as well as specific recommendations for the agricultural sector development program (ASDP).