Agricultural Risk Management in the Face of Climate Change

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作者：

World Bank

来源地址：

http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22897

关键词：

ATMOSPHERE;  EXPLOSIVE;  FLOODS;  GREENHOUSE GASES;  INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE;  CLIMATE EVENT;  CYCLONE TRACKS;  ATMOSPHERIC CARBON;  THUNDERSTORMS;  EXTREME EVENTS;  CLIMATE PATTERNS;  CLIMATE VARIABILITY;  PRECIPITATION;  EMISSION;  EXTREME WEATHER;  TEMPERATURES;  PHOTOSYNTHESIS;  CARBON;  FROST;  SEASON;  LAND USE CHANGE;  CHEMICALS;  ZINC;  ENERGY;  IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE;  ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION;  CARBOHYDRATES;  CLIMATE PREDICTIONS;  SURFACE VARIABLES;  GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS;  TROPICAL REGIONS;  NEGATIVE IMPACTS;  ATMOSPHERIC CARBON DIOXIDE;  GLOBAL WARMING;  SCIENCE;  EXTREME PRECIPITATION EVENTS;  OCEANS;  CLIMATE STATISTICS;  RADIATIVE FORCING;  WEATHER PATTERNS;  EVAPORATION;  WIND;  EXTREME EVENT;  GAS EMISSIONS;  CLIMATE RISKS;  CO2;  AIR;  CLIMATE PROJECTIONS;  COLORS;  CAPACITY;  LONG-TERM CLIMATE CHANGE;  CYCLONES;  EXTREME PRECIPITATION;  TROPICAL STORMS;  CLIMATE SYSTEM;  LAND USE;  IMPACTS FROM CLIMATE CHANGE;  TEMPERATURE;  EMISSION GROWTH;  NATURAL CLIMATE VARIABILITY;  CLIMATIC CONDITIONS;  MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES;  CLIMATE CHANGE IMPLICATIONS;  TEMPERATURE CHANGE;  PLANT GROWTH;  BIOMASS;  RESPONSE TO CLIMATE CHANGE;  FERTILIZATION;  WEATHER EXTREMES;  EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE;  ELECTRICITY;  CARBON CYCLE;  CLIMATE;  TEMPERATURE MAXIMUM;  LEAD;  SURFACE TEMPERATURE;  CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION;  CLIMATE VARIABLES;  TROPICS;  ASH;  ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION;  MITIGATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE;  CARBON DIOXIDE LEVELS;  CLIMATE CONDITIONS;  CLIMATES;  STORMS;  CLIMATIC HAZARDS;  TYPHOONS;  EMISSIONS SCENARIOS;  NEGATIVE IMPACT;  IMPLICATIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE;  CLIMATE UNCERTAINTY;  EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS;  TEMPERATURE THRESHOLDS;  TEMPERATURE DISTRIBUTION;  LOCAL CLIMATE;  SUMMER TEMPERATURES;  TIN;  CARBON IN SOILS;  GASES;  TROPICAL CYCLONES;  CLIMATE CHANGE;  RAIN;  SEASONS;  CLIMATE CHANGE RISKS;  GHG;  CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS;  GREENHOUSE;  CLIMATIC VARIABILITY;  DROUGHT SEVERITY;  DEFORESTATION;  CLIMATE EVENTS;  HURRICANES;  RAPID CLIMATE CHANGE;  SCIENTISTS;  WATER VAPOR;  EXTREME WEATHER EVENT;  CLIMATE CHANGE CHALLENGE;  MOISTURE CONTENT;  AEROSOLS;  METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION;  ATMOSPHERIC CARBON DIOXIDE CONCENTRATION;  CLIMATE PREDICTION;  PALMER DROUGHT SEVERITY INDEX;  CLIMATE MODELS;  GREENHOUSE GAS;  EXTREME HEAT;  INCENTIVES;  AEROSOL CONCENTRATIONS;  IMPACT OF CLIMATE;  GAS;  CARBON EMISSIONS;  PRICES;  EMISSIONS;  TEMPERATURE FLUCTUATIONS;  IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE;  CARBON DIOXIDE;  LOW RAINFALL;  RAINFALL;  RICE PRODUCTION;  WEATHER CONDITIONS;  CLIMATIC UNCERTAINTY;  CLOUDINESS;  HAIL;  HIGH TEMPERATURE;  CLIMATE TRENDS;  DROUGHT;  IPCC;  CARBON DIOXIDE CONCENTRATION;  ANNUAL PRECIPITATION;  IRON;  FORESTRY;  Report;  Rapport;  Informe; 

年份：

2015

出版地：

Washington,USA

语种：

English

摘要：

Climate change is becoming a source of significant additional risks for agriculture and food systems. Climate projections suggest that impacts will include shifting average growing conditions, increase climate and weather variability, and more uncertainty in predicting tomorrow's climate and weather conditions. Agricultural risk management (ARM) is ideally placed to support stakeholders in building resilience to these increased risks in short and medium term. ARM can also play an important role in the transition to a climate-smarter agriculture system by offering a useful entry point for dialogue. The clear initial focus on the management of shorter term risks and their economic impact can help create a sense of urgency and attract stakeholder involvement that then paves the way for broader discussions around climate-smart agriculture. This study seeks to understand the climate change impacts on agricultural risk - how do risks change? - and on ARM - how can agricultural risk managers respond? This response has two elements: First, what role can ARM play in meeting the climate change challenge? Second, how will ARM need to adapt its methodology to the new normal of climate change? Chapter one briefly sketches a conceptualization of climate change impacts on agricultural risk. Chapter two assesses the impact of climate change on production risks, including temperature fluctuations, drought events, heavy rainfall (including floods), and other direct weather events, such as cyclones and storms, as well as indirect implications of climate change, such as pests and diseases. Chapter three discusses risk repercussions at the market level. Chapter four focuses on the implications of climate change risks on the enabling environment. Chapter five assesses the implications of climate change impacts for agricultural risk management.