How USDA Forecasts Retail Food Price Inflation

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英文名称：

How USDA Forecasts Retail Food Price Inflation

作者：

Annemarie Kuhns; Richard Volpe; Ephraim Leibtag; Ed Roeger

工作单位：

USDA's Economic Research Service

来源地址：

https://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/pub-details/?pubid=47624

关键词：

Food Price Outlook;  food prices;  Consumer Price Index (CPI);  Producer Price Index (PPI);  forecasts;  vertical price transmission model;  autoregressive moving average approach;  error correction model;  autoregressive distributed lag;  univariate moving average approach; 

年份：

2015

出版地：

Washington, DC, USA

总页数：

43 pp

语种：

English

摘要：

In recent years, ERS has used a revised methodology for forecasting food price inflation, which captures price impacts at various stages of the food supply system and results in improved precision of the forecasts.