Effects of Increased Biofuels on the U.S. Economy in 2022

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英文名称：

Effects of Increased Biofuels on the U.S. Economy in 2022

作者：

Mark Gehlhar; Ashley R Winston; Agapi Somwaru

工作单位：

USDA's Economic Research Service

来源地址：

https://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/pub-details/?pubid=44744

关键词：

Bioenergy;  economywide;  ethanol;  petroleum;  trade;  macroeconomics;  computable general equilibrium model; 

年份：

2010

出版地：

Washington, DC, USA

总页数：

36 pp

语种：

English

摘要：

Achieving greater energy security by reducing dependence on foreign petroleum is a goal of U.S. energy policy. The Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 (EISA) calls for a Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS-2), which mandates that the United States increase the volume of biofuel that is blended into transportation fuel from 9 billion gallons in 2008 to 36 billion gallons by 2022. Long-term technological advances are needed to meet this mandate. This report examines how meeting the RFS-2 would affect various key components of the U.S. economy. If biofuel production advances with cost-reducing technology and petroleum prices continue to rise as projected, the RFS-2 could provide economywide benefits. However, the actual level of benefits (or costs) to the U.S. economy depends importantly on future oil prices and whether tax credits are retained in 2022. If oil prices stabilize or decline from current levels and tax credits are retained, then benefits to the economy would diminish.