Black Sea Grain Exports: Will They Be Moderate or Large?

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英文名称：

Black Sea Grain Exports: Will They Be Moderate or Large?

作者：

William Liefert; Olga Liefert; Ralph Seeley; Edward Allen

工作单位：

USDA's Economic Research Service

来源地址：

https://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/pub-details/?pubid=40424

关键词：

Russia;  Ukraine;  Balkan countries;  transition economies;  grain;  wheat;  barley;  agricultural trade; 

年份：

2004

出版地：

Washington, DC, USA

总页数：

15 pp

语种：

English

摘要：

This report examines the prospects for grain exports by the transition economies of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) and the Newly Independent States (NIS) that export through the Black Sea, the largest being Russia and Ukraine. If productivity growth in the region is high, annual grain exports by Black Sea countries could rise to 30-40 million tons. Such high exports would strongly affect the world grain market, since total annual world grain exports during 2000-03 averaged 237 million metric tons. This report is the second in a two-part series on the integration of CEE and NIS countries into global commodity markets.