Wheat Outlook: March 2009

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英文名称：

Wheat Outlook: March 2009

作者：

Mir Ali; Gary Vocke

工作单位：

USDA's Economic Research Service

来源地址：

https://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/pub-details/?pubid=39640

关键词：

wheat;  price;  inputs;  costs of production;  profitability;  Agricultural Resource Management Survey;  ARMS; 

年份：

2009

出版地：

Washington, DC, USA

总页数：

11 pp

语种：

English

摘要：

The recent historic rise in farm input costs and wheat prices has had economic effects on the U.S. wheat sector. A cumulative distribution of forecasted production costs for wheat farms shows that current high (but falling) wheat prices will allow a greater share of producers to cover their production costs in 2008 (90 percent) than in 2004 (82 percent), despite higher input costs in 2008. However, if farm-gate prices for wheat continue to fall into 2009, and if prices for inputs do not drop off similarly, many more wheat producers may find themselves unable to cover production costs and the U.S. wheat sector may see further attrition of planted area.