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Tanzania agribusiness reports Q4/2019 Includes 5-year forecasts to 2022
- 作者：
- Business Monitor International Ltd
- 年份：
- 2019
- 学科分类：
- F342.54
- 出版地：
- London
- 总页数：
- 56
- 语种：
- English
- 信息来源：
- BMI Research
- 摘要：
- Key View Key View: While we continue to see agricultural output rising in Tanzania over the next five years, as the sector remains an important contributor to economic growth and employment productivity will be low. The industry is dominated by smallholder farms that are highly dependent on rainfall, access to rural credit and farm inputs is limited and support policies from the government have been largely ineffective. Of the commodities we cover, we expect sugar and com to outperform as new government-funded milling facilities will likely boost sugar production and robust demand (domestic and international) supports com. A recent bumper com harvest has led the government to lift its corn export ban. By contrast coffee production will fall in 2019/20 as unfavourable weather combined with structural barriers continues to weigh on the industry. We note that the government remains committed to improving agricultural production, and a number of new programmes pose upside risks to our outlook.
