Romania agribusiness report Q4/2018 includes 5-year forecasts to 2021-2022

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作者：

Business Monitor International Ltd

年份：

2018

学科分类：

F354.24

出版地：

London

总页数：

55

语种：

English

信息来源：

BMI Research

摘要：

Key View Key View: With our existing forecasts across the Romanian agricultural sector consolidated this quarter, we remain broadly positive in our view ofthe Romanian agricultural sector. We maintain our view that grains production has high growth potential owing to their competitiveness and exposure to the Middle East and Asia. The sector's exports will benefit from the abundant supply ofwheat and the expected reduction of neighbouring Ukraine's export capacity ofthe crop. IVe caution that our forecasts for the grains sector remain subject to progress in the CAP reform process which is taking shape in 2018. We believe that Romania's poultry sub-sector will continue to perform well across our forecast period to 2021/2022, outperforming the rest ofthe livestock sector in terms ofboth production and consumption owing to strong demand from Romania's population and strengthening in terms of output by an average rate of2.2%y-o-y across our forecast period. Milk production will see limited growth. The sugar sector will moderately benefit in terms ofproduction following the removal of quotas in Europe in 2017.