USDA ERS - Evaluating U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Long-Term Forecasts for U.S. Harvested Area

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英文名称：

USDA ERS - Evaluating U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Long-Term Forecasts for U.S. Harvested Area

作者：

David Boussios; Sharon Raszap Skorbiansky; Matthew MacLachlan

来源地址：

https://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/pub-details/?pubid=100448

关键词：

Agricultural baseline projections;  harvested area;  corn;  soybeans;  wheat;  forecast;  real-time dataset; 

年份：

2021

出版地：

Washington, DC, USA

总页数：

28 pp

语种：

English

摘要：

This report analyzes the accuracy of the historical baseline projections for U.S. corn, soybean, and wheat harvested area for the period from 1997 to 2017. The report finds that statistical modeling approaches have the potential to improve the performance of USDA’s baseline projections.