A method of monitoring a patient includes measuring neural respiratory drive using a monitoring device (10), repeating the measurement either continuously or at regular time intervals, and comparing the measurements obtained in order to predict treatment failure and/clinical deterioration and/or re-admission. In embodiments of the invention, the neural respiratory drive is measured by obtaining a measure of the second intercostal space parasternal electromyogram. A monitoring device (10) includes a signal input (20), a processing unit (30), and a output unit (50), and is arranged to measure the neural respiratory drive, store the measured value and compare it to a previously measured value for the neural respiratory drive.
