Systems and methods for ambulatory detection of medical events such as cardiac arrhythmia are described herein. An embodiment of an arrhythmia detection system may include a detection criterion circuit that determines a patient-specific detection criterion using a baseline cardiac characteristic when the patient is free of cardiac arrhythmias. The detection criterion circuit generates a patient-specific threshold of a signal metric by adjusting a population-based threshold of the signal metric, where the manner and the amount of adjustment is based on information about patient baseline cardiac characteristic. The arrhythmia detection system detects an arrhythmia episode using a physiologic signal sensed from the patient and the patient-specific arrhythmia detection threshold.
