A computer system, computer program product and method for determining a probability of attaining a PK-PD target associated with efficacy for a patient that includes a processor obtaining information identifying an infection and based on the information, generating and displaying, by the processor, a list comprising one or more pathogens consistent with the information, the processor then obtaining a first indication designating at least one pathogen from the list comprising one or more pathogens and based on at the obtaining of the least one pathogen, generating a list comprising one or more drug therapies utilized to treat the at least one pathogen. The method also includes the processor obtaining, descriptive information relating to a patient and based on the one or more drug therapies, selecting a pharmacokinetic model and the processor applying the pharmacokinetic model and utilizing the information relating to the patient to determine, for each of the one or more drug therapies, a probability of attaining a PK-PD target associated with efficacy for the patient with the infection.