Systems and methods are disclosed for predicting healthy lumen radius and calculating a vessel lumen narrowing score. One method of identifying a lumen diameter of a patient's vasculature includes: receiving a data set including one or more lumen segmentations of known healthy vessel segments of a plurality of individuals; extracting one or more lumen features for each of the vessel segments; receiving a lumen segmentation of a patient's vasculature; determining a section of the patient's vasculature; and determining a healthy lumen diameter of the section of the patient's vasculature using the extracted one or more features for each of the known healthy vessel segments of the plurality of individuals.