A system and method is provided for analyzing a glucose state. A method may include identifying a target glucose state and an initial glucose state. The method may include calculating a target return path for a transition from the initial glucose state to the target glucose state. The target return path may comprise at least one intermediate glucose state associated with the transition from the initial glucose state to the target glucose state. The target return path may be calculated based on a hazard associated with the at least one intermediate glucose state of the target return path.
