An automated medication dosing and dispensing system includes: gesture sensors to detect physical movement of a user； computer-readable storage media with program code instructions； and at least one processor. The instructions are configurable to cause the at least one processor to perform a method that involves: detecting, based on analysis of gesture sensor readings obtained from the gesture sensors, an occurrence of a gesture-based physical behavior event； calculating an initial confidence level for the detected occurrence of the gesture-based physical behavior event； deriving a final confidence level, for the detected occurrence of the gesture-based physical behavior event, from the initial confidence level and from external information obtained from at least one source of data that is distinct from the gesture sensors； and adjusting medication dosage and/or medication dispensing parameters in response to the detected occurrence of the gesture-based physical behavior event and the final confidence level.
